Tuesday, 19 June, 2018

Subtropical Storm Alberto forms; expected to soak Florida

Tropical Storm Sebastian, Vero Beach to get minimal impact from Tropical Storm Alberto
Velma Reese | 26 May, 2018, 14:12

Regardless of whether this becomes a tropical depression or storm, it will provide copious amounts of rain to Florida and parts of the Gulf coast.

The system will be named Alberto if it reaches the storm level.

By Sunday night, the center of Alberto is forecast to be be somewhere between Apalachee Bay and New Orleans.The Hurricane Center said gradual strengthening is forecast over the next 72 hours.

The National Weather Service said a flash flood watch would be in effect from Saturday evening through Tuesday evening for southeastern MS, southwestern Alabama and the western Florida Panhandle. As the center of circulation moves north of the Gulf Coast our rain chances will decrease, however, on and off showers should be expected through entire holiday.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. Often, these storms have a radius of maximum winds which is farther out than what is observed for purely "tropical" systems.

Abundant tropical moisture streaming north into the region on the eastern side of newly formed subtropical storm Alberto over the northwest Caribbean will increase the potential for heavy rain across all of Florida on Saturday and continuing through Monday evening.

AAA will tow you home for free this Memorial Day weekend
Other analysts believe the Trump administration's decision to withdraw from the Iran Nuclear Deal will also reduce supply. The American Autombile Association is reminding drivers not to drive home impaired over the Memorial Day weekend.

The storm's sustained winds are expected to intensify to 65 miles per hour over the next three days, as it approaches the northern Gulf coast.

If the system strengthens, it will mark an early start to the 2018 hurricane season, which officially begins June 1. However, experts say those storms usually form in the Atlantic Ocean; a pre-season storm in the Gulf of Mexico is rarer. The hurricane season officially runs from June 1 to November 30.

An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunters reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to fly to the area at 3 p.m. Friday to sample more precise measurements of the atmosphere and determine the system's strength.

At the very least, several inches of torrential rain are likely across the Gulf states east of Texas.

Rainfall by the end of the weekend is expected to be between 2 and 4 inches, but areas close to the Gulf Coast could see as much as 6 or 7 inches depending on how Alberto develops and tracks. The storm surge watch was issued for a stretch from Horseshoe Beach, Florida, to the mouth of the Mississippi River.

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